Posted By: Cybermagellan | Dec 23rd, 2005 @ 11:11 PM
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Cybermagellan
Cybermagellan
Live for nothing, or die for everything
Well seems like everyone is sharing theirs...

Jason Calacanis (Weblogs Inc owner now AOL Employee), Incremental Blogger , Dave Winer , and a few others are sharing their 2006 Predictions and while that is great and all I figured that I'd ask here on C9.

What do you guys think will happen in 2006? What's your predictions?

Personally I'm going to side with Dave Winer in the fact that AOL will attract alot more attention "Big Name" attention, however wont be able to keep it because everyone will leave to go start their own companies or go to Sirius. Amongst Daves predictions is that Calcanis will leave, Buzz Bruggeman will come and go, and then Chris Pirillo will come and go (don't ask about Pirillo, I think that's far fetched).

It's all speculation...have fun with it.
prediction... hmmm

microsoft gets a break in the press ... vista isnt horrible..  people warm up to it ...  it holds it's ground

google gets more and more evil - is not up front about tracking - gets in trouble

adobe makes the worlds lamest interface - mandates flash and dreamweaver use it

scobles book sells great - he leaves - charles gets promoted - adam moves to new team - c9ers deal with it - call Big Brothers

ballmer moves to board / somehow - gets out of current role - new puppet is planted
easier to blame / control i mean train  (from board)

vista starts looking good - people who try it love the look but cant find anything - small cafuffle ensues

some company figures out how to make xbox do all the stuff you want without restrictions - makes a load of cash - is sued and shutdown (not the illegal version that already happened)

hmm what else...
Karim
Karim
Trapped in a world he never made!
- Apple will come out with an iPod "boombox" (dock with speakers).  It will be overpriced and Apple will still sell millions of them.

- MSFT will finally hit $30 a share.

- At Macworld, Steve Jobs will pull a "One more thing..." when talking about the new Intel-based Macs, and announce some kind of compatibility with Windows, either using the Intel Virtualization Technology, or "Yellow Box" for Windows (which will allow running Mac OS X apps under Windows).

- Intel's new 64nm hardware, new versions of OS X and Windows, and the Exchange 12 requirements for a 64-bit CPU will spur lots of hardware investment.  A lot of people will buy new computers in 2006.  Big Smile

- MSFT will finally hit $40 a share.

- By year's end, Apple's market share will have doubled, from ~4% to ~8%.  Most of the increase will come from people who switched from Linux.

- LCD prices will continue to drop.  Just as everyone finishes buying new LCD monitors with HDMI connectors to support HD content, HDMI will be obsoleted in favor of UDI.

- The day after Vista is released, an open-source group will publish a virus and claim that Vista is insecure.  This will make headlines worldwide, even though the virus installation requires being logged on locally as Administrator.

- 2006 will be the year of backlash as three major record labels are found guilty by New York State of collusion and racketeering in an attempt to raise prices on the iTunes Music Store.  The MPAA will be forced to stop suing people at random after they accidentally file a file-sharing lawsuit against the recently-deceased wife of a Republican Senator.  And Sony will be liable for billions in damages as a result of malware installed on users' PCs.

- After Vista and Office 12 are released, Microsoft will revise earnings estimates upward.  MSFT will hit $60 per share.  There will be a collective sigh of relief as many options will no longer be underwater.  The parking lots at Microsoft will resemble new car dealerships.

- Google will lose multiple lawsuits, including a patent infringement case involving GTalk, the Authors Guild, and even Jews for Jesus.  A continued release of half-baked betas, embarassing vulnerabilities in Google Desktop, and typo-squatters gaming Google AdSense will have many wondering if Google hasn't jumped the shark.  Microsoft will release their own version of AdSense, which will be well-received.

- MSN, Google and Yahoo! will all try to clone Digg, and fail miserably Big Smile

- The HD-DVD vs. BluRay battle will rage on, until late in 2006, when Maxell threatens to kill both of them with a disc that can hold 1.6 terabytes.
Karim wrote:
kind of compatibility with Windows, either using the Intel Virtualization Technology, or "Yellow Box" for Windows (which will allow running Mac OS X apps under Windows).


My bet is the other way around.  That OSX will allow you to run Windows as a process ..

Karim wrote:

MSFT will hit $60 per share.


Now I know your predictions aren't serious Smiley

2006... the year of Linux on the desktop.

Didn't happen in 98, 99, 00, 01, 02, 03, 04 or 05... so this has got to be the year right?

I'm still looking forward to the announcement on /.

Karim
Karim
Trapped in a world he never made!
Rossj wrote:
Karim wrote:
MSFT will hit $60 per share.


Now I know your predictions aren't serious



Saruman the Off-White: Images do come to me... colors, waving... a flag... blue, red, green, yellow... yes, a flag... an Elvish word, "Nâ-as-daqh..." no, "Nâsdaq..." "NASDAQ..." a rune to signify gold... a number: threescore.  Yes, threescore is the number.  The letters, M, S, F, T...  A vista... a window in the air, an aero window... many in the lands of Men, with a clouded window... and much gold for the makers thereof... and a rich man, laughing...
mVPstar
mVPstar
I'm white because I smelt an onion.
heh Tongue Out
W3bbo
W3bbo
The Master of Baiters
Karim wrote:
- At Macworld, Steve Jobs will pull a "One more thing..." when talking about the new Intel-based Macs, and announce some kind of compatibility with Windows, either using the Intel Virtualization Technology, or "Yellow Box" for Windows (which will allow running Mac OS X apps under Windows).


That Safari screenshot is actually a Firefox skin.
Karim
Karim
Trapped in a world he never made!
W3bbo wrote:
Karim wrote: - At Macworld, Steve Jobs will pull a "One more thing..." when talking about the new Intel-based Macs, and announce some kind of compatibility with Windows, either using the Intel Virtualization Technology, or "Yellow Box" for Windows (which will allow running Mac OS X apps under Windows).


That Safari screenshot is actually a Firefox skin.


The two screenshots don't look the same.  Your Firefox skin has the Aqua-style minimize, maximize and close buttons on the left; the screenshot I posted has Windows-style min/max/close buttons on the right that suspiciously resemble... iTunes for WindowsBig Smile

I'm not saying it couldn't be a hoax... but if it is, someone went out of their way to make it look like an app that was ported to Windows.

I confess I'm biased, though -- it's one of those impossibly cool X-Files things that make you "want to believe."  Big Smile
ScanIAm
ScanIAm
On a scale of 1 to 10, people are stupid.
Karim wrote:
- Apple will come out with an iPod "boombox" (dock with speakers).  It will be overpriced and Apple will still sell millions of them.

I don't know how old you are, but do you remember what it was like when boomboxes were actually super popular?  If your prediction comes true, the streets of NYC will be covered with cardboard breakdance mats. 

I, for one, will welcome the new surge in popularity of Slick Rick.

harumscarum
harumscarum
out of memory
What apple did for the mp3 in 05 they will do for video in 06.  Goodbye....buffering.....buffering....crappy web video and also commercials. They started some of this in 05 but it will be huge in 06. I have to admit I was a skeptic when this first released. I also wonder who will be responsible for the cost of all this bandwidth.

Due to the prediction above there will be a big demand for dvd burning technology.

Advertisers will find a way to infiltrate dvr boxes and piss off consumers. DVR boxes will introduce access to web service applications via remote.

Thanks to click once there will be a shift to more smart client applications instead of web. I see this being more in corporate then in the public.

Nintendo will have surprising success with their console. Not sure if they will win the "war" but they will do much better then expected. Due to the attempts of Sony and MS trying to one up each other in the console war in the end the sales will be modest.

rjdohnert
rjdohnert
You will never know success until you know failure
Predictions for 2006

I agree that Scobles popularity and success as an author will lead him to move on from MS.  Not necessarily away from Tech and not to Google or any competitor per say.  He may even start a widely successful  Podcast.

Vista will ROCK and be affordable to both small businesses and consumers

Beer28 will migrate all of his PC's to Windows Vista and actually become a real coder

Jamie will land a job at Microsoft in interface design and Graphics dept

Google will be exposed as the evil corp.

PS3 will suck and Microsoft will rightfully dominate the gaming console scene as they do in computer software

Microsoft will place IIS under an Open Source license
"In one of the most negative, ruthless marketing campaigns ever, Microsoft will run Just the Facts ads accusing Linux of coming up with the idea for Jar-Jar Binks."

Oh, wait. That was on Conan O'BrienSmiley
2006: Most of you will be wrong about most of the things you predicted.
DoomBringer
DoomBringer
Doom!
2006: Same S***, different year
PaoloM
PaoloM
Hypermediocrity
2006 (as 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005 were) will be the year of Linux on the desktop.
There will be much writing down of 2005, followed by much scribbling out of said 2005 and a shiny new 2006 written afterwards.

Jan 1, 2005 2006
bander
bander
yet another WinFX fan!
Where I come from it's gonna be 2006 after 13 hours.. LoooL Tongue Out
amotif
amotif
No Silver Bullet
2006: Beer28 returns to C9 (again). Beer28 leaves C9 (again). Beer28 returns to C9 (again)...


- Microsoft surprises the world and releases Vista in the first quarter of 2006
- Massive profits from Vista sales make Microsoft 2nd only to the United States government in amount of money controlled
- Microsoft quickly acquires Google, GM, Ford, Oracle, EA, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Honda, and the European Union. 
- With  its newfound power Microsoft re-organizes the world under its control
- Microsoft ends poverty, hunger, and war.
- Microsoft appoints C9 members to high-ranking positions in the new world order
Sourcecode
Sourcecode
Whatever it is, I didn't do it.
W3bbo wrote:


K,Dude, that stuff is scary. I only looked a little at the bible code stuff, but i suppose i'm doomed Sad
Sourcecode
Sourcecode
Whatever it is, I didn't do it.
Sorry all meant that for another thread...
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