Maddus Mattus said:
Hmmm,... very good argument! If I dont believe what everyone else is believing, I am a self-deluded fool.
Going against public opinion because you don't understand the arguments, or because you can't stand the implications makes you a self-deluded fool yes. You are certainly not in the majority camp on this one, and I doubt that you have any deep or meaningful insight into the world of GCC, so you're not a pioneer, so yes, it does make you a self-deluded fool.
Maddus Mattus said:
I've
worked in these scientific research groups. A *lot* is done on
assumptions. They dont know all the facts. So they make assumptions.
Every now and then these assumptions get debunked and they have to
revise their theory.
Those assumptions help keep your computer from catching fire and planes falling out of the skies on a routine basis. The point of science is working out what assumptions you've made and making a better prediction of the future based on empirical and analytical analysis. That's what science
is, and it's pretty darned good at it. If the assumptions led us to believe falsehoods we'd ditch them sharpish and go to a better model of how the world works. Given that in the latest IPCC report they said that their "assumptions" of CO2's forcing effect, while taking into account the forcing effect of other gasses etc (you can read it yourself), has an error under 5% says that they're getting the science right.
Consequently, while taking their predictions and extrapolations with a pinch of salt is reasonable, disregarding them entirely is simply stupid.
Maddus Mattus said:
But now
we have a politicians meddeling in the affairs of science. They
invested so much money in CO2 prevention, they cannot accept the fact
that maybe they were wrong.
Really? I thought all the reports were the opposite - that politicians wern't taking GCC seriously enough and only taking "token" gestures towards a solution. Believe you me, if the opposition had the tinyest whiff that government was wasting money on GCC, don't you think they'd be the first to tell everyone how dumb the government is and how they plan on scrapping it in favour of tax cuts?
Maddus Mattus said:
The
fact of the matter is, we don't know enough to target the source of the
climate change.
That's why we have error bars in the estimates. That doesn't give you carte blanche to ignore them.
Maddus Mattus said:
Some say it's the CO2, some say it's the water vapor,
others say it's largely contributed by the activity of the sun.
And the IPCC takes all three into account in all of it's reports. CO2 is the biggest antropomorphic heat forcing gas. Water vapour in the atmosphere has been roughly the same for the last 200,000 years and the solar cycles are cyclic. Get over it.
Maddus Mattus said:
But to
pick one of these three options and present them as fact for your own
gain, is not very scientific.
You remind me of
these guys. You form a conclusion ("I'll be damned if I'm going to be told what to do by some damn hippies") and the search for facts to "prove" it, rather than looking at the facts, and drawing conclusions from it.
I'll leave it as an exercise to the reader as to which is more scientific.