@Proton2: Meh. The only way tablets will die in 5 years is if they stagnate... which could happen, if there was only one player in the market.
If Apple has no competition by that point, we won't see much innovation, and perhaps tablets will die out. I think Microsoft has a chance to partner with Intel and help deliver a real market competitor to the iPad.
Failing that, Android is the only realistic possibility out there now, and as an early adopter of the Xoom, I just can't find a good reason to believe Android will ever come to properly focus on tablets.
I'm still a bit excited about the Ubuntu tablets (http://www.ubuntu.com/tablet). Ubuntu has never really given me confidence that it will ever be a household brand, but I feel that their multimodal app mechanism could really prove to be a better approach to an app ecosystem than either Apple or Microsoft has managed. If only they could find a means to market it.
@Proton2: He's counting on people being so frustrated with their W8 tablets that they just go back to pencil and paper.
Kidding aside he seems to think there's just not the financial incentive to keep filling the market with tablet after tablet. Manufacturers will just quit. (yeah right...)
Also I'm guessing he sees the phone to be powerful enough to be a PC; dock it and done. Ubuntu seems to agree with it's OS strategy. What Blackberry's CEO is missing is that people like the large screen sizes hence the popularity of the phablets and 7 in tablets. Even Microsoft is hinting it's getting into the latter. Maybe he's right but in a different way; once foldable screen technology becomes a reality there won't be a difference between a traditional phone and tablet. It'll fold to the right size for whatever you need. You'd also have the benefit of being able to dock it as a PC -- provided support for mouse and keyboard continues to make that scenario useful.
The devs should have known better than to trust the advertising dollars would be there for a new platform in its infancy. I bet they are all ex-Silverlight and WPF devs anyway -- serves them right; they never learn.
@DeathByVisualStudio:You may be right, but the way I look at it is if I am going to go hurtling over the edge of a cliff I would rather do it driving a decent car than something I need to carry a bucket load of spanners and parts for.
1. Blackberry made a tablet, and it crashed and burned.
2. I'm not sure I'd want to take advice from the CEO of a company that went from being the poster-child of business to being completely irrelevant in less than 5 years.
@evildictaitor: He wasn't CEO during the BlackBerry PlayBook tablet era. The only tablets my family have used are BlackBerry, and I'm using one right now. I plug mine into a HD monitor also and read blogs and study. I'm reading Charles Petzold's Programming Windows Phone 7 book on it right now.
As for taking his advice, I'd say it's more like food for thought. I always look for flaws in advice or statements from people. And I often find them.
And yes the making of a tablet by BlackBerry was a mistake. It probably did help them flush out flaws in the new operating system that they use on both the tablet and the brand new phones.
As to his advice and my thoughts; I make software and as long as I can still sell it in 5 years, it doesn't matter what end users have in terms of hardware. I wouldn't hazard a guess as to what will be in 5 years, and fortunately I don't have to. But I'm pretty sure we'll all be running 10GHz CPU's by then.
(my spell checker broke while composing this message )
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